风险评估模型的比较评估,用于预测植入中央静脉接入装置的癌症患者的静脉血栓栓塞事件
Mohammad Ma'koseh1,2, Heba Farfoura3, Mahmoud Abunasser1,2
1Department of Internal Medicine, King Hussein Cancer Center, Amman 11941, Jordan.
Cancers
|October 29, 2025
概括
植入中央静脉接入装置 (ICVAD) 的癌症患者患有静脉血栓栓塞 (VTE) 的高风险. 在预测整体VTE事件方面,ONKOTEV风险评估模型 (RAM) 显示出最佳性能.
科学领域:
- 在瘤学瘤学.
- 血液学 血液学 血液学
- 医疗器械 医疗器械
背景情况:
- 癌症患者使用植入的中央静脉接入装置 (ICVAD) 进行化疗,面临静脉血栓栓塞 (VTE) 的风险增加.
- 在这个特定人群中,对VTE的风险评估模型 (RAM) 尚未得到研究.
- 了解VTE发生率和预测因素对于患者管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估ICVADs的癌症患者VTE的发生率.
- 在这个队列中确定与VTE相关的风险因素.
- 评估Khorana,COMPASS-CAT和ONKOTEV风险评估模型对VTE的预测性能.
主要方法:
- 通过ICVADs通过化疗治疗的成年癌症患者的回顾性审查.
- 使用细灰色方法估计的VTE的累积发病率.
- 通过灵敏度,特异性,预测值,准确度和AUC评估RAM性能;使用卡普兰-梅尔和日志等级测试分析的整体存活率.
主要成果:
- 总共有446名患者被纳入;18.4%的患者经历了VTE,其中9.6%与ICVAD相关.
- 一年后,VTE的累积发病率为9%,两年后为18.4%.
- 对于整体VTE,ONKOTEV表现出最好的预测性能 (准确率74.4%,AUC 0.607),但所有模型对ICVAD相关的VTE的能力有限. 静脉瘤与较低的整体存活率 (HR 1.39) 有关.
结论:
- 患有ICVAD的癌症患者具有早期VTE的显著风险.
- 在整体VTE预测方面,ONKOTEV RAM的表现最好,但在ICVAD相关事件方面表现不佳.
- 需要进行前性研究来验证RAM并指导VTE预防策略.
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