对疟疾和COVID-19联合感染动态的数学模型进行最佳控制分析
Abou Bakari Diabaté1, Boureima Sangaré1, Ousmane Koutou2
1Département de Mathématiques et Informatique, Université Nazi BONI, Bobo-Dioulasso, Burkina Faso.
Journal of biological dynamics
|October 29, 2025
概括
这项研究模拟了疟疾和2019年冠状病毒病 (COVID-19) 联合感染的动态. 数学分析揭示了疾病灭绝,排除或共存的条件,并提出了最佳控制策略.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 数学生物学 数学生物学
- 传染病建模 传染病建模
背景情况:
- 疟疾和COVID-19之间的联合感染动态带来了复杂的公共卫生挑战.
- 了解这些疾病的相互作用对于有效的控制策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发和分析疟疾和COVID-19联合感染的确定性数学模型.
- 研究疾病动态,包括灭绝,竞争性排斥和共存.
- 为了确定合感染情景的最佳控制策略.
主要方法:
- 对疟疾和COVID-19单一感染模型的分析.
- 计算每个模型的基本复制数 (R0).
- 研究稳定状态的存在和稳定性.
- 后向双叉分析的应用.
- 对参数进行局部灵敏度分析.
- 使用Pontryagin的最大原则来实现最佳控制.
主要成果:
- 在特定条件下,单一感染和共感染模型都表现出逆向分叉.
- 确定了疾病灭绝,竞争排斥和共存的条件.
- 敏感性分析确定了影响疾病动态的关键参数.
- 获得了对共感染的最佳控制策略.
结论:
- 数学模型为疟疾和COVID-19联合感染的复杂动态提供了洞察力.
- 逆向分叉可以发生在单一和共感染模型中.
- 这些发现支持针对同时感染的人群制定有针对性的干预措施和控制策略.
关键词:
65L1212 这是一个很大的问题.65M2020 这样就好了.65N4040 65N4040 65N4040 65N4040 65N40 65N40 65N40 65N40 65N40 65N40 65N40 65N40同感染模型的共感染模型.两叉分支的分支是什么数字模拟的数字模拟.最好的策略是最好的策略.敏感性分析分析是什么?更多相关视频
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