数学建模和最优的控制分析的块性皮肤病在家畜牛
1Department of Mathematics, B. N. MANDAL University (R.J.M. College), Madhepura, Bihar, 852113, India.
Scientific reports
|October 30, 2025
概括
这项研究引入了分数顺序的SIR模型,以了解牛中的块性皮肤病 (LSD). 数学分析和控制策略表明,微积分计算有效地模拟了疾病的传播,缓解努力可以显著减少感染.
科学领域:
- 数学建模的数学建模
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 兽医科学是一门兽医科学.
背景情况:
- 状皮肤病 (LSD) 对全球的家畜牛群构成重大威胁.
- 了解LSD的传播动态对于有效的疾病控制至关重要.
- 分数顺序微积分与传统的整数顺序模型相比,提供了一种更细致的方法来建模复杂的生物系统.
研究的目的:
- 开发和分析使用卡普托-法布里齐奥导数的小数级SIR数学模型,用于使用卡普托-法布里齐奥导数在牛中传播LSD.
- 调查分数顺序对疾病动态的影响.
- 推导和评估最佳的控制策略,以减轻LSD的危害.
主要方法:
- 用卡普托-法布里齐奥导数构建一个分数顺序的SIR模型.
- 对模型属性的分析调查,包括正性,边界性和基本复制数.
- 固定点理论的应用,以证明解决方案的存在和独特性.
- 通过Pontryagin的最大原则来推导最佳控制策略.
- 数值模拟用于探索分数顺序动态,并与整数顺序模型进行比较.
主要成果:
- 该模型的基本属性 (积极性,边界性,基本复制数) 通过分析来确定.
- 使用固定点理论证明了解决方案的存在和独特性.
- 数字模拟表明,较低的分数顺序加速疾病传播.
- 最佳的控制策略表明,感染水平大幅降低.
- 对比分析证实了微积分计算在LSD建模中的优越适用性.
结论:
- 分数顺序建模提供了一个更准确的表现,在牛群中块性皮肤疾病的传播动态.
- 建议的最佳控制策略,包括预防和治疗措施,有效地减轻了LSD的传播.
- 这项研究为管理牛群中LSD爆发提供了有价值的见解和实际指导.
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