树 (Quercus robur L.) 树的树环在整个欧洲与物种分布模型的空间时间变化
Andrei Popa1,2, Jernej Jevšenak3, Marcin Dyderski4
1National Institute for Research and Development in Forestry "Marin Drăcea", Bucharest, Romania.
Global change biology
|October 30, 2025
概括
树 (Quercus robur L.) 在整个欧洲都显示出对气候变化的弹性. 树环数据表明,树很好地应对,即使在预测范围收缩区,挑战了一些分布模型预测.
科学领域:
- 牙生态学 牙生态学
- 森林生态 森林生态
- 气候变化生物学 气候变化生物学
背景情况:
- 气候是一个关键的,但不断变化的,影响树木生长的因素.
- 树 (Quercus robur L.) 预计将适应气候变化,尽管模型预测范围的变化.
- 树环提供了森林动态和气候反应的机械观,补充了基于事件的模型.
研究的目的:
- 评估欧洲各地Quercus robur气候压力的树生态指标.
- 将树木生长反应与物种分布模型 (SDM) 预测进行比较.
- 研究气候敏感性和生长同步性的时间变化.
主要方法:
- 利用了遍布欧洲的150个Quercus robur遗址的广泛网络.
- 分析了来自3300多棵树的树环数据.
- 将树枝生态指标与从SDM预测的范围转移进行比较.
主要成果:
- 预计范围收缩区的树对当前生长季气候的敏感性更高.
- 持久性地区的树对前一个季节的条件做出了更大的反应.
- 收缩区的生长同步性更高,但随着时间的推移并没有增加.
- 气候敏感度的变化有所不同,在收缩区,水平衡变得越来越重要.
结论:
- 目前,Quercus robur L. 在整个欧洲的分布地很好地应对气候变化.
- 观察到的增长模式挑战了一些从统计学上得出的SDM范围转移场景.
- 该物种表现出性,特别是在预测范围收缩的地区.
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