对木材使用的选择空间方法:为建筑物提供结构性木材,同时保护森林完整性
Simone Gingrich1,2, Sarah Matej1, Karl-Heinz Erb1
1Institute of Social Ecology, Department of Economics and Social Sciences, BOKU University, 1070 Vienna, Austria.
iScience
|October 31, 2025
概括
为了减缓气候变化,可持续的木材使用需要平衡建筑需求与森林供应. 我们的研究量化了这种选择空间,发现供应往往超过需求,但强调了需要微妙的策略,如增加循环.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候变化缓解缓解 气候变化缓解
- 林业科学 林业科学
背景情况:
- 木材的使用对减缓气候变化至关重要,但在增加采伐和森林保护之间存在战略冲突.
- 调和这些策略需要了解木材利用的社会和生态门.
研究的目的:
- 从2020年到2050年,概念化和量化全球建筑行业的木材使用选项空间.
- 分析在生态范围内增加建筑物木材强度的可行性.
主要方法:
- 将RECC材料流模型与CRAFT森林模型结合起来.
- 将四个需求场景与四个供应场景相对应,考虑物质和生态系统服务值.
主要成果:
- 在16种情景组合中的12种情景组合中,木材供应超过了需求.
- 在区域自给自足 (6-9个地区),初级木材供应 (0.2-1.4 GtC/年) 和气候影响 (2.0-8.0 GtCO2eq/年) 方面,结果各不相同.
结论:
- 建筑物木材强度的大幅增加仅在具有增强循环性的低平面空间场景中是可行的.
- 在评估木材使用在减缓气候变化战略中的可持续性时,细微差别至关重要.
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