印度的绿色增长难题:解读二氧化碳排放,能源组合和GDP之间的相互作用
Rohan Kunwar1, Krish Vora1, Kashika Sharma1
1Department of Computer Science and Information Systems and Department of Economics & Finance, Birla Institute of Technology and Science Pilani, Pilani Campus, Rajasthan, India.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|November 1, 2025
概括
印度 印度 印度
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 能源政策 能源政策
- 可持续发展 可持续发展 可持续发展
背景情况:
- 环境退化和能源成分显著影响经济增长.
- 印度的能源格局正在不断变化,需要分析其与经济发展和排放的关系.
- 了解这些动态对于制定可持续政策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查印度环境退化,能源组成和经济增长之间的动态相互关系.
- 分析能源消耗,二氧化碳排放和经济扩张之间的长期平衡和因果关系.
- 为可持续能源战略提供政策建议.
主要方法:
- 使用从1985年到2022年的年度数据进行时间序列分析.
- 格兰杰因果关系测试用于确定变量之间的预测关系.
- 差异分解以量化不同能源对排放和增长的影响.
主要成果:
- 在印度的能源消耗,二氧化碳排放,发电 (化石燃料,可再生能源,核能) 和经济增长之间存在长期平衡.
- 化石燃料和核能使用在很大程度上预测了二氧化碳排放和经济增长.
- 可再生能源的消费与减少的排放有关,而化石燃料的消费增加了它们.
结论:
- 印度的能源政策必须优先考虑可再生能源投资和能源效率.
- 能源组合的多样化对于减轻环境退化和促进可持续经济增长至关重要.
- 政策干预应侧重于利用可再生能源,将经济增长与排放脱.
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