在内镜下粘膜切割后早期胃心脏癌症的预后模型
Peng Zhang1, Xiaoying Ma2, Zibin Tian1
1Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, No. 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao City, Shandong Province, 266000, China.
BMC surgery
|November 1, 2025
概括
使用microRNA-1246,HMGB-1,A1AT和炎症标记物的新预后模型预测了内镜下膜剖析 (ESD) 后早期胃心脏癌症患者的结果. 这个工具有助于个性化风险评估治疗后.
科学领域:
- 在瘤学瘤学.
- 分子生物学分子生物学
- 胃肠病学 胃肠病学
背景情况:
- 早期胃心脏癌症 (EGCC) 需要有效的预后工具,即内镜后的粘膜下剖析 (ESD).
- 目前的方法可能无法完全捕捉EGCC预后的复杂性.
- 识别可靠的生物标志物对于个性化患者管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证一种预后模型,用于预测EGCC患者在ESD后的预后结果.
- 为了将microRNA-1246 (miR-1246),高流动性组框1 (HMGB-1),α1-抗素 (A1AT) 和炎症标志物纳入模型.
- 评估模型的预测性能和临床实用性.
主要方法:
- 对280名接受ESD的EGCC患者进行了回顾性分析.
- 分为培训 (n=196) 和验证 (n=84) 队列.
- 后勤回归,LASSO分析,名图构造,ROC曲线,校准曲线和DCA用于模型评估.
主要成果:
- 多变量分析确定了miR-1246,HMGB-1,A1AT,TNF-α和H. pylori感染作为预后不佳的独立风险因素.
- 诺米图表显示出良好的区分能力 (AUC 0.789培训,0.735验证).
- 校准曲线证实了预测和观察结果之间的良好一致性.
结论:
- 开发的预后模型为EGCC患者在ESD后的个性化风险评估提供了一个实用的工具.
- 建议在大型多中心前性研究中进一步验证临床应用.
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