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揭穿"当预言失败"的原因

Thomas Kelly1

  • 1Independent Scholar, Washington DC.

Journal of the history of the behavioral sciences
|November 4, 2025
PubMed
概括
此摘要是机器生成的。

一个1950年代的邪教研究.

关键词:
在宗教方面,宗教是宗教.这些UFO是UFO.认知失调是一种认知失调.邪教的邪教,邪教的邪教.宣教 宣教活动

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科学领域:

  • 心理学 心理学 心理学
  • 社会学 社会学 社会学

背景情况:

  • 1956年出版的"当预言失败"是一本关于认知失调的开创性研究.
  • 它描述了多西·马丁 (Dorothy Martin) 领导的不明飞行物崇拜,在一个失败的预言之后,据说他们的信仰翻了一番.

研究的目的:

  • 用新开封的档案材料重新检查"当预言失败"的说法.
  • 调查这本书关于认知失调和研究人员行为的核心论点的准确性.

主要方法:

  • 分析与1954年UFO崇拜有关的新发现的档案文件.
  • 历史研究和对原始研究的方法和结果的批判性检查.

主要成果:

  • 该研究的核心主张是错误的;该组织没有翻倍,但在失败的预言之后解散了.
  • 研究人员捏造证据,操纵参与者,并干涉儿童福利案件.
  • 这本书"当预言失败"歪曲了邪教的行为和研究的伦理行为.

结论:

  • 在"当预言失败"中认知失调的正典描述是基于伪造的数据.
  • 这项研究涉及研究人员的严重道德违规行为,包括亨利·里肯.
  • 这种重新评估需要对这一关键心理学案例研究的理解进行修订.