使用机器学习预测成年患者的尿液培养结果,目的是减少不必要的尿液培养
Anneroos W Boerman1,2, Manon M van Ingen2, Hans H M Schotman2
1Section General Internal Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam UMC, Location VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
The journal of applied laboratory medicine
|November 5, 2025
概括
机器学习模型准确预测尿液培养结果,可能减少不必要的测试和抗生素使用. 这种预测模型在开发和外部验证阶段都表现出强的表现.
科学领域:
- 医疗信息学 医疗信息学
- 医疗保健中的机器学习
- 诊断的准确性 诊断的准确性
背景情况:
- 尿液培养经常被订购,但通常会产生负面结果.
- 预测模型可以改善诊断决策,减少不必要的抗生素处方.
- 减少不必要的尿液培养提高了医疗保健的质量.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证用于预测尿液培养结果的机器学习模型.
- 评估模型在现实世界临床环境中的性能.
- 探索减少不必要的尿液培养和抗生素治疗的潜力.
主要方法:
- 使用来自阿姆斯特丹大学医学中心 (2019-2021) 的数据开发了一种极端梯度增强 (XGBoost) 模型.
- 在VU医学中心 (VUmc) 队列上进行了模型开发和内部验证.
- 对学术医学中心 (AMC) 队列进行了外部验证,包括所有成人患者部门.
主要成果:
- 这项研究包括两个队伍的18000多种尿液培养.
- 阳性尿液培养率为19.4% (VUmc) 和12.0% (AMC).
- XGBoost模型实现了0.834 (VUmc) 和0.800 (AMC) 的AUROC,表明了强大的预测性能.
结论:
- 开发的XGBoost模型有效预测尿液培养结果,并在外部验证期间保持性能.
- 包括所有成年患者部门在内扩大了适用性,但需要进一步验证.
- 在临床实施之前建议进行前性评估,以减少不必要的尿液培养.
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