从1990年到2021年,全球,区域和国家负担趋势
Jian-Chun Hao1, Xing Zhou2, Shao-Wei Cheng1
1Department of Dermatology, Chuiyangliu Hospital Affiliated with Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
概括
由于人口增长,影响生活质量的疾病 - - 的全球负担正在增加. 预计未来的发病率将大幅上升,特别是在老年人群中.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 全球健康 全球健康
- 皮肤病学 皮肤病学
背景情况:
- 大大降低了患者的生活质量.
- 对的综合性全球疾病负担评估有限.
- 这项研究评估了从1990年到2021年间的性负担趋势.
研究的目的:
- 评估负担的全球,区域和国家时间趋势.
- 分析发病率,流行率和因残疾而调整的寿命年 (DALYs).
- 为了确定负担的人口和区域差异.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自2021年全球疾病负担数据库的数据.
- 分析了发生率,流行率和DALYs的年龄标准化率 (ASR).
- 采用了分解分析,社会不平等评估,边界分析和贝叶斯年龄-时期-队列建模.
主要成果:
- 在2021年,全球发病率,流行率和DALY的全球ASR分别为每10万人口767.02,986.45和10.42.
- 在所有指标上观察到每年大约0.36%的增长.
- 女性,老年人,东南亚和中级社会人口指数 (SDI) 地区的负担最高;人口增长是主要的驱动因素.
结论:
- 在1990年至2021年间,全球疹负担出现了显著的上升趋势,主要是由于人口增长.
- 未来的预测表明,发病率大幅增加,特别是在60岁以上的人群中.
- 公共卫生战略必须优先考虑妇女,老年人,东南亚,中高SDI地区,以及中国,印度和缅甸等快速增长的国家.
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