远远不仅仅是一个手臂中的枪:疫苗和消费者支出
1International Monetary Fund, 700 19Th Street, NW, Washington, DC, 20431, USA. scevik@imf.org.
概括
COVID-19疫苗的推出大大提高了消费者支出,特别是在服务领域,帮助经济复苏与其他政策措施一起. 这项研究分析了卡片交易数据,以了解疫情.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 行为科学 行为科学
背景情况:
- 随着COVID-19的流行,经济活动和家庭消费模式发生了巨大的变化.
- 政府干预和公共卫生措施,包括疫苗接种运动,在塑造经济反应方面发挥了关键作用.
研究的目的:
- 实证分析COVID-19疫苗推广对消费者支出的影响.
- 评估疫苗接种和其他政策干预措施对经济复苏的综合影响.
- 调查疫苗在不同经济部门的影响差异.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自三个欧洲国家的高频借记卡和信用卡交易数据.
- 进行实证分析以量化疫苗部署和政策措施的影响.
- 检查了对基于卡的交易量和组成的影响.
主要成果:
- 疫苗的部署显示,对私人消费产生了统计学上显著的积极影响.
- 额外的政策反应对交易量和组成产生了积极的影响.
- 与商品相比,接种疫苗的刺激作用在接触密集的服务行业更为明显.
结论:
- 疫苗接种,加上政策措施,减轻了大流行病对经济的影响,并支持消费者支出复苏.
- 在疫情期间,政策干预在管理经济转变方面是有效的.
- 疫苗接种对服务业的复苏产生了特别强烈的积极影响.
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