基于模糊的AHP框架的机器学习和贝叶斯网络,用于过程单位的风险评估.
Hassan Mandali1, Elham Keighobadi2, Hossein Ebrahimi3
1Department of Occupational Health Engineering, School of Public Health, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Scientific reports
|November 7, 2025
概括
人工智能,包括像Random Forest和XGBoost这样的机器学习模型,增强了过程安全风险评估. 这些人工智能技术与贝叶斯网络和多标准决策 (MCDM) 相结合,有效地优先考虑减轻风险.
科学领域:
- 化学工程是化学工程的重要组成部分.
- 过程安全 过程安全 过程安全
- 人工智能的人工智能
背景情况:
- 风险评估对于工艺单位的安全至关重要.
- 人工智能 (AI) 为风险预测和评估提供了先进的能力.
- 将人工智能与传统方法相结合,可以提高风险评估的准确性.
研究的目的:
- 在过程风险评估中评估各种机器学习算法的有效性.
- 将传统的统计方法与先进的AI技术进行比较.
- 探索AI与贝叶斯网络和多标准决策 (MCDM) 的协同潜力,以优先考虑风险.
主要方法:
- 利用了通过危险性和可操作性 (HAZOP) 研究识别的160个偏差的数据集.
- 采用了各种各样的算法:组合方法 (随机森林,Hist梯度提升,XGBoost,CatBoost) 和传统方法 (逻辑回归,KNN,SVM,CNN).
- 应用了贝叶斯网络和MCDM的融合,以优先考虑风险选择.
主要成果:
- 随机森林,XGBoost和CatBoost表现出卓越的性能,实现了近乎完美的AUC分数和准确性.
- 贝叶斯网络和MCDM的综合方法将"电解电池腐蚀"和"电池损坏和爆炸"确定为优先级高的风险.
- 机器学习模型在准确性和预测能力方面明显优于传统方法.
结论:
- 机器学习技术是过程风险评估的高效工具.
- 贝叶斯网络和MCDM的整合提供了一个强大的框架来优先考虑风险.
- 这些方法允许实施有针对性的控制和预防措施,以提高工业安全.
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