财富创造和疾病负担:基于贝叶斯-VAR方法的尼日利亚证据
1Department of Economics, Statistics and Finance, "G.Anania" University of Calabria, Arcavacata of Rende, Italy.
PloS one
|November 10, 2025
概括
创造财富显著降低了尼日利亚的疾病负担. 建议推行促进财富创造和公平再分配的政策,以改善公共卫生和增加预期寿命.
科学领域:
- 卫生经济学 卫生经济学
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 发展中国家面临着严重的疾病负担.
- 尼日利亚是一个发展中国家,经历了相当大的疾病负担.
- 了解疾病负担的驱动因素对于有效的政策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查尼日利亚的财富创造和疾病负担之间的因果关系.
- 分析财富创造,预期寿命和人口增长对疾病负担的影响.
- 为减少发展中国家疾病负担提供基于证据的建议.
主要方法:
- 使用贝叶斯矢量自回归 (B-VAR) 模型.
- 采用了冲动响应功能和预测方差分解.
- 分析了2006年至2018年尼日利亚的数据.
主要成果:
- 财富创造在减轻疾病负担方面表现最为显著.
- 服务贸易,汇款和商业便利是创造财富的关键指标.
- 疾病负担也显示出对预期寿命和人口增长的变化有显著的反应.
结论:
- 专注于创造财富的政策对于减轻尼日利亚疾病负担至关重要.
- 公平的财富再分配对于最大限度地提高健康效益至关重要.
- 有针对性的干预措施可以提高预期寿命并减少疾病的流行率.
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