用中断时间序列分析 (ITS) 评估成研究政策的样本大小要求:工具和指导
Emma Beard1,2,3, Jamie Brown2,3, Lion Shahab2,3
1Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, London, UK.
Addiction (Abingdon, England)
|November 11, 2025
概括
现在可以访问中断时间序列 (ITS) 研究的正式功率计算. 新的工具,包括R代码和Shiny App,简化了成研究的权力和样本大小的确定.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
- 医疗保健服务研究 医疗服务研究
背景情况:
- 正式的功率计算很复杂,在中断时间序列 (ITS) 研究中很少使用.
- 这种方法差距阻碍了严格的研究设计和解释,特别是在成研究中.
研究的目的:
- 在ITS研究中开发实用,用户友好的工具来确定功率和样本大小.
- 加强准实验研究的方法严谨性,特别是在成研究中.
主要方法:
- 利用蒙特卡洛模拟来创建用于估计统计功率的资源.
- 开发了一个灵活的R代码基础,用于定制的功率模拟.
- 创建了一个交互式R Shiny应用程序,用于无代码的功率分析.
- 生成预先计算的查找表,用于快速估计样本大小.
主要成果:
- 这项研究产生了三个关键资源:R代码,R Shiny App和查找表.
- 这些工具允许明确定义数据生成过程,包括自相关性 (ARMA),共变量,趋势和干预效应类型 (步骤,脉冲,趋势变化).
- 有关例子说明了这些工具在成研究中的应用.
结论:
- 开发的工具大大简化了ITS设计的功率计算.
- 采用这些资源可以改善准实验研究的规划,执行和解释.
- 这些工具有助于确保有足够的力量来检测政策和研究中的有意义的干预效应.
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