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Updated: Jan 11, 2026

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考虑到冲突动态的变化:一种基于模式的预测模型

Thomas Schincariol1, Hannah Frank1, Thomas Chadefaux1

  • 1Department of Political Science, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland.

Journal of peace research
|November 12, 2025
PubMed
概括

通过新的"形状寻找"方法,预测冲突中的死亡人数得到了改进. 这种方法捕捉了时间变化和暴力的激增,为决策者提供了比传统模型更好的洞察力.

关键词:
武装冲突是武装冲突.动态时间扭曲.模式识别 模式识别 模式识别预测 预测 预测 预测时间模式的时间模式.时间序列时间序列

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