分析使用正常操作的韦布尔时间指标,通过部分加速测试,改进了自适应渐进式审查及其应用
Ahmed Elshahhat1, Refah Alotaibi2, Mazen Nassar3,4
1Faculty of Technology and Development, Zagazig University, Zagazig, 44519, Egypt. aelshahhat@ftd.zu.edu.eg.
Scientific reports
|November 12, 2025
概括
本研究引入了使用部分加速寿命测试和适应性审查来改进工业系统可靠性分析的韦布尔可靠性模型. 该方法增强了信息提取,同时减少了测试时间和成本.
科学领域:
- 工业工程 工业工程 工业工程
- 可靠性工程可靠性工程
- 统计建模 统计建模
背景情况:
- 工业系统中的寿命测试面临时间,成本和安全方面的限制.
- 传统的加速寿命测试可能需要从正常操作条件中进行过度推断.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个Weibull可靠性模型,用于在正常操作环境下分析部分加速寿命测试.
- 整合一个改进的适应性渐进式审查方案,以实现有效的数据收集.
主要方法:
- 对概率函数和参数估计器的封闭式表达式的导出.
- 应用对称贝叶斯框架用于参数估计和不确定性量化.
- 对现实世界数据集的分析 (LED寿命,绝缘液体分解时间).
主要成果:
- 拟议的方法允许在没有过度推断的情况下精确地推断可靠性.
- 适应性渐进式审查方案最大限度地提高了信息,同时尽量减少了测试时间.
- 与现有的韦布尔计划相比,该模型显示出优越的适合性和预测可靠性.
结论:
- 开发的框架增强了Weibull可靠性分析对工业系统的灵活性.
- 它为可靠性工程师提供了实用的指导方针,平衡成本,持续时间和信息效率.
- 该方法为完整和被审查的样本提供了强大的推断程序.
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