降雨和海平面上升对发展中的超大城市的死亡影响
Tom Bearpark1, Ashwin Rode2, Archana Patankar3
1Princeton University, School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton, NJ, USA. bearpark@princeton.edu.
Nature
|November 12, 2025
概括
在孟买, 季风造成的死亡人数超过8%, 这突显了城市公共卫生的关键基础设施需求.
科学领域:
- 环境健康
- 城市公共卫生
- 气候变化的影响
背景情况:
- 城市洪水和降雨对全球公共卫生构成重大风险,城市化和气候变化加剧了这种风险.
- 现有研究不足以量化降雨和海平面上升对城市环境的健康影响.
研究的目的:
- 估计印度孟买降雨造成的死亡人数.
- 分析降雨,潮动态和城市健康风险之间的相互作用.
主要方法:
- 集成高分辨率的降雨数据,潮和死亡率.
- 考虑到潮影响和人口因素,分析降雨导致的死亡率.
主要成果:
- 在孟买的季风死亡人数中降雨占比超过8%.
- 贫民窟居民承担了80%以上的降雨死亡负担.
- 儿童和妇女面临着降雨死亡风险的增加;风险随着潮升级而升级.
结论:
- 官方统计数据显著低估了孟买的降雨死亡率.
- 迫切需要对排水,卫生和废物管理进行投资以减轻这些健康风险.
- 如果不采取适应措施,海平面上升可能会增加与降雨相关的死亡率.
相关概念视频
Effect of Sea Water on Concrete
951
Concrete exposed to seawater can undergo degradation like the dissolution of ettringite and gypsum, increasing the material's porosity and decreasing its strength. In contrast, the crystallization of salts within the concrete's pores can cause expansion, particularly above the waterline where evaporation occurs. Nonetheless, this expansion only happens when seawater, enabled by the concrete's permeability, manages to infiltrate the structure.
Concrete in areas between tide marks,...
Concrete in areas between tide marks,...
951
Responses to Drought and Flooding
11.9K
Water plays a significant role in the life cycle of plants. However, insufficient or excess of water can be detrimental and pose a serious threat to plants.
11.9K
Design Example: Analyzing Capacity Contours for Flood Risk Assessment
272
Flood risk assessment involves careful planning and analysis to ensure the safety of communities near water retention structures. Capacity contours are a vital tool in this process, as they illustrate the potential spread of water at specific levels in a given area. In the context of building a bund across a small valley, these contours play a critical role in evaluating the safety of nearby residential areas.In this example, the bund is intended to store stormwater in the valley. The engineers...
272
Applications of Life Tables
320
Life tables are versatile across various fields, providing a quantitative basis for analyzing mortality and survival rates. Whether used by demographers, actuaries, epidemiologists, or sociologists, life tables offer valuable insights into the dynamics of life and death, facilitating informed decisions in public health, insurance, conservation, and beyond. Their broad applicability highlights the interconnectedness of demographic data with practical outcomes in everyday life and strategic...
320
What is Climate?
20.4K
Climate refers to the prevailing weather conditions in a specific area over an extended period. As the saying goes, “Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get.” Climate is influenced by geographic factors, such as latitude, terrain, and proximity to bodies of water.
20.4K
Global Climate Change
28.7K
Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
28.7K


