在气候变化下,北大西洋深处地两足甲动物的物种分布建模
Karlotta Kürzel1,2,3, Craig P Hammock4,5,6,7,8,9, Vanessa Pitusi7
1Institute of Marine Ecosystem and Fishery Science (IMF), Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), University of Hamburg, Große Elbstraße 133, 22767, Hamburg, Germany. kuerzel.karlotta@gmail.com.
Scientific reports
|November 12, 2025
概括
气候变化影响北大西洋深海两足动物,一些物种扩大息地,而另一些物种面临丧失. 未来的分布模型预测北向转移和改变生态系统动态.
科学领域:
- 深海生态 深海生态
- 海洋生物学 海洋生物学
- 气候变化科学 气候变化科学
背景情况:
- 深海盆地生态系统面临气候驱动的环境变化的威胁,包括物种范围的变化和潜在的灭绝.
- 两类甲动物对深海的食物网和营养循环至关重要,但它们的大规模分布尚不清楚.
研究的目的:
- 在各种气候变化场景下,模拟55种北大西洋深海两足动物的当前和未来物种分布.
- 了解物种对气候变化的具体反应,包括息地扩张,丧失和转移.
主要方法:
- 开发55种北大西洋深海两动物物种的物种分布模型 (SDM).
- 在多个共享社会经济路径 (SSP) 中利用当前数据和未来预测 (2050-2100).
主要成果:
- 在研究的两足动物物种中,有一半以上在某些气候场景下显示出潜在的息地扩张,而另一些则预计将遭受息地丧失.
- 种类表现出各种各样的反应,即使在同一个属内,有显著的向北和格陵兰岛海岸的转移.
- 诸如冰川融水和营养增加等因素可能会影响区域息地的适宜性,而与温度变化相关的极地转移.
结论:
- 气候变化正在推动北大西洋深海两动物分布的显著物种特异性变化.
- 这些变化对生物多样性,食物网动态和整体生态系统稳定性产生影响.
- 该研究强调了强大的分类学理解和保护战略的必要性,以预测和减轻气候变化对深海生态系统的影响.
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