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Updated: Jan 11, 2026

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评估太阳风预报使用磁图,包括太阳地震远端信息
Stephan G Heinemann1,2, Dan Yang3, Shaela I Jones4
1Institute of Physics, University of Graz, Universitätsplatz 5, 8010 Graz, Austria.
概括
准确预测太空天气需要了解太阳的磁场. 结合来自太阳地震学的远端太阳数据,可以显著改善太阳风预测和太阳球模型.
科学领域:
- * 太空物理学和空间天气研究.
- * 太阳物理学和太阳能发电机.
- *计算天体物理学和MHD建模.
背景情况:
- *精确的太阳风建模对于太空天气预报至关重要.
- *从地球上观察太阳的全磁场是有限的.
- *天文地震学提供了一种推断远端太阳活动的方法.
研究的目的:
- *将太阳地震远侧活动区域数据整合到太阳风模型中.
- * 评估这些数据对空间天气预报准确性的影响.
- * 为了将新模型 (FARM) 与标准模型 (SFTM) 进行比较.
主要方法:
- * 远侧活跃区域的同化来源于日电地震学.
- *使用表面流量运输模型 (SFTM) 和远端活性区域模型 (FARM) 的比较分析.
- *使用Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA) 太阳风模型进行统计评估,并使用EUHFORIA进行3D MHD建模.
主要成果:
- *包括远端磁力数据在内,太阳能风预测的相关性提高了50%.
- * 预测准确度 (RMSE,MAE) 用远端数据提高了3%.
- * 3D MHD 建模揭示了日球结构的显著局部差异.
结论:
- *吸收太阳地震远端信息可以增强太阳风和太空天气预报.
- *远端数据对于精确建模日球力学是必不可少的.
- *这种方法改善了对太阳风,短暂物质和地磁干扰的预测.
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