对利益相关者决策的动态分析 电池回收 考虑风险
Juan Huang1,2, Zhe Wang2, Zhenggang He1
1School of Transportation and Logistics Southwest Jiaotong University Chengdu 610031 China.
Global challenges (Hoboken, NJ)
|November 13, 2025
概括
本研究介绍了退役电池回收风险的动态模型,量化损失和利益相关方战略演变. 有效的风险管理对于可持续的回收市场和向积极战略的过渡至关重要.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 运营研究 运营研究
背景情况:
- 退役电池回收链中的风险管理面临重大挑战.
- 现有的动态模型很少用于量化风险损失及其对利益相关方战略共同演变的影响.
研究的目的:
- 提出一个定量模型来评估退役电池回收中的风险诱导损失.
- 分析不同风险参数对利益相关者的收入,风险损失和战略行为的影响.
主要方法:
- 整合网络计算与有条件风险价值 (CVaR) 进行定量风险损失评估.
- 探索风险参数如何影响利益相关者的收入,风险诱导的损失和战略决策.
主要成果:
- 利益相关者对风险的敏感性因战略而异,特别是在政府和回收商的负面战略下加剧.
- 风险诱导的损失动态显示风险管理能力达到顶峰,贡献率为64.1%.
- 在低风险场景中,政府决策的波动会影响消费者行为,而不断升级的损失则鼓励积极的策略.
结论:
- 风险是动力电池回收市场可持续发展的关键驱动因素.
- 利益相关者的战略选择从负面发展到积极的方法,以应对不断增加的风险诱导的损失.
- 这些发现为改善电池回收运营中的风险管理策略提供了宝贵的见解.
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