对印尼实施LUCF缓解与NDC目标的成本分析
Annuri Rossita1,2, Rizaldi Boer3,4
1Center for Climate Risk and Opportunity Management for Southeast Asia and Pacific (CCROM SEAP), IPB University, Bogor, 16143, Indonesia. annurirossita@gmail.com.
Carbon balance and management
|November 14, 2025
概括
印度尼西亚 印度尼西亚 印度尼西亚
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 气候变化缓解减缓 气候变化缓解减缓
- 林业和土地使用政策
背景情况:
- 印尼通过联合国气候变化框架公约 (UNFCCC) 承诺减少排放.
- 土地利用变化和林业 (LUCF) 部门,特别是泥炭地,是实现印尼气候目标的关键.
- 以前对LUCF缓解的成本评估已经过时,并且经常排除间接和交易成本.
研究的目的:
- 评估印尼实施LUCF减缓战略的总成本.
- 在缓解成本评估中包括正式的交易成本.
- 为有效的气候变化减缓规划和私营部门参与提供信息.
主要方法:
- 使用了综合缓解评估过程 (COMAP) 模型.
- 在COMAP模型中,评估了减缓活动的碳和经济影响.
- 分析了森林保护和泥炭地管理的成本.
主要成果:
- 每公的LUCF缓解成本从10美元到3200美元不等.
- 实现印度尼西亚无条件的国家自主贡献 (NDC) 目标需要11.229亿美元 (投资) 和3.42亿美元 (生命周期成本).
- 预计私营部门将为53%的总成本提供资金.
结论:
- 私营部门的缓解活动由于大量的间接 (10-43%) 和交易成本 (4-19%) 而导致更高的生命周期成本.
- 需要政策工具来降低交易成本并鼓励私营部门参与.
- 多元化融资来源对于印尼履行气候承诺至关重要.
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