对信任度衡量的可靠性进行大规模实验调查
Clémentine Bouleau1,2, Maël Lebreton3,4,5, Nicolas Jacquemet6,7
1Paris School of Economics, Paris, France. clementine.bouleau@psemail.eu.
Communications psychology
|November 18, 2025
概括
这项研究检查了对认知任务的信心估计. 结果显示,信心报告在大约50次试验后稳定,为个人差异提供了可靠的见解.
科学领域:
- 认知心理学 认知心理学
- 行为科学 行为科学
- 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学
背景情况:
- 个人对行为和选择的信心是行为理论的基础.
- 目前用于测量对认知任务信心的方法缺乏记录的可靠性评估.
研究的目的:
- 调查个人对认知任务的信心估计的可靠性.
- 评估对不同个人的信心水平比较的可靠性.
主要方法:
- 使用信任数据库进行了大规模的重新抽样分析.
- 该数据库包括103项研究,涉及6000名参与者.
主要成果:
- 与选择准确度指标相比,信任度估计显示出更大的稳定性.
- 值得信赖的估计值的可靠性在大约50个试验后停滞不前.
- 无论各种任务设计特征如何,都观察到这种平衡.
结论:
- 在适度数量的试验后,对认知任务的信心估计表现出强大的可靠性.
- 结果为基于任务的信任度指标的可靠性提供了上限.
- 该研究描述了测量信心的现有和未来认知任务设计的稳定性.
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