风险沟通如何影响个人对气候变化的反应:一项实验性研究
Alberto Antonioni1, Miguel A González-Casado1, Giulia Andrighetto2,3
1Grupo Interdisciplinar de Sistemas Complejos (GISC), Departamento de Matemáticas, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Leganés, Spain.
Scientific reports
|November 19, 2025
概括
将气候风险视为单一的灾难性事件,而不是一系列较小的风险,在集体行动游戏中改善了合作和奖励. 早期捐款在管理不确定的集体风险方面没有预期的那么有效.
科学领域:
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
- 环境心理学 环境心理学
- 游戏理论 游戏理论
背景情况:
- 共同行动对于应对气候变化等全球性挑战至关重要.
- 了解风险感知如何影响合作对于有效的政策制定至关重要.
- 理论模型表明,早期贡献是管理不确定的集体风险的关键.
研究的目的:
- 为了测试预测,早期贡献对于管理不确定的集体风险至关重要.
- 调查不同的气候风险表现如何影响合作.
- 确定风险框架对集体行动和个人奖励的影响.
主要方法:
- 参与者参与了一次重复的集体风险困境游戏.
- 两种情况进行了比较:仅在最后一轮发生的损失与每一轮的损失.
- 测量包括贡献时间,预期调整和社会规范的出现.
主要成果:
- 与预测相反",最后一轮"的灾难性风险场景导致了更高的贡献成功和个人奖励.
- 在"最后一轮"的场景中,捐款集中在最后,不均地分配.
- 没有证据支持影响决策的社会规范的出现.
结论:
- 将风险视为单一的灾难性事件可能会比分散的风险促进更清晰的理解和更有效的合作.
- 有效的沟通策略对于激励对气候变化采取集体行动至关重要.
- 在处理灾难性,延迟的风险时,可能需要重新考虑早期贡献的必要性.
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