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中国的ESG股票和关键行业股票之间的动态互连和风险传播:来自VAR模型的证据
1School of Economics and Management, Nanning Normal University, China.
Journal of environmental management
|November 19, 2025
概括
这项研究显示,化学品库存是中国ESG市场的主要风险来源,而机械库存传递风险,海洋库存接收风险. 股票的ESG表现有所不同,这凸显出需要谨慎的投资组合策略.
科学领域:
- 金融 金融 金融 金融 金融
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 环境,社会和治理 (ESG) 研究
背景情况:
- 关于新兴经济体的ESG投资的研究有限,特别是关于传统行业和以海洋为基础的部门.
- 了解风险传递机制对于有效的ESG投资组合管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析中国化学品,机械制造,海洋经济和ESG股票之间的静态和动态溢出关系.
- 确定这些相互关联的市场中的系统风险的主要来源和接收者.
- 为投资者提供ESG投资组合策略和方法指导.
主要方法:
- 使用了一个统一的分析框架,包括时间变量参数向量自回归 (TVP-VAR),滚动VAR和量子VAR (QVAR) 模型.
- 对三个ESG组合网络 (ESG50,ESG300,ESG500) 的中国A股的每日收盘价格数据进行分析.
主要成果:
- 化学品库存成为所有ESG投资组合回报中的系统性风险的主要来源.
- 机械制造业股票充当了净风险传播者,而海洋经济股票主要是净风险接受者.
- ESG股票表现出风险吸收和放大器的双重作用,强调了ESG评级的重要性.
- 总溢出效应指数显示市场状态的依赖性,在极端市场条件下显著增加.
结论:
- 这项研究填补了在新兴市场传统行业,海洋经济和ESG股票之间理解风险传播的关键差距.
- 调查结果为开发强大的ESG投资策略和风险管理方法提供了宝贵的见解.
- 该研究证实了ESG评级的重要性,并强调了不同市场状态下的风险溢出效应的动态性质.
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