博茨瓦纳的烟草控制:税收改革在减少烟草需求方面的有效性
Tshepiso Gaetsewe1, Goitseone Khanie1
1Trade, Industry & Private Sector Development Division, Botswana Institute for Development Policy Analysis, Gaborone, Botswana.
概括
博茨瓦纳的香烟需求是响应价格变化的,10%的价格上会使需求减少8.6%. 这一弹性发现对于博茨瓦纳的烟草控制政策和税收战略至关重要.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 卫生经济学 卫生经济学
- 控制烟草的控制方式
背景情况:
- 博茨瓦纳在世卫组织非洲区域中面临着很高的成年烟草使用率.
- 尽管有现有的烟草控制措施,烟草制品的广泛消费仍然存在.
- 香烟需求受到价格波动和税收的重大影响.
研究的目的:
- 分析香烟需求对博茨瓦纳价格变化的反应.
- 为有效的烟草控制政策提供经验证据.
- 为了估计香烟需求的条件价格弹性.
主要方法:
- 利用Deaton的模型来分析需求的条件价格弹性.
- 采用了来自2015/16博茨瓦纳多主题家庭调查 (BMTHS) 的横截面数据.
- 杆化家庭支出调查,适合非洲数据可用性.
主要成果:
- 在博茨瓦纳,香烟需求的估计条件价格弹性为 -0.86.
- 预计,香烟价格上10%会使需求下降8.6%.
- 博茨瓦纳的香烟需求表现出对价格调整的反应能力.
结论:
- 调查结果提供了科学证据,证明了增加税收对减少香烟消费的有效性.
- 该研究提供了博茨瓦纳香烟需求条件弹性的第一个经验估计.
- 预计结果将指导政策制定者制定有效的烟草控制战略.
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