应用文本挖掘和因果分析来识别空中交通管制安全操作中的风险
Zhongye Wang1, Yuhan Wang2, Zongbei Shi3
1College of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, 211106, China. wangok@nuaa.edu.cn.
Scientific reports
|November 21, 2025
概括
本研究引入了一种结合文本挖掘和因果分析的新方法,以确定空中交通管制 (ATC) 操作中的关键风险. 该方法通过精确识别关键危险来提高安全性,以更好地降低风险.
科学领域:
- 航空安全航空安全
- 风险管理 风险管理
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
背景情况:
- 空中交通管制 (ATC) 操作对于飞行安全至关重要.
- 目前的风险评估方法在识别ATC程序中的根深蒂固的风险方面存在局限性.
研究的目的:
- 提出一个集成的文本挖掘和因果分析方法,用于ATC的综合风险识别.
- 提高航空安全风险评估的准确性和系统性.
主要方法:
- 应用BERTopic进行安全事件报告的深度语义分析,以提取风险主题和关键词.
- 开发了风险因素表示框架和ATC运营安全的因果网络.
- 利用拓分析 (PageRank,中间中心性) 和脆弱性分析来识别关键风险节点.
主要成果:
- 提出的方法显著提高了风险主题识别的准确性.
- 确定了具有高PageRank和核心权力的突出风险节点,对系统安全至关重要.
- 成功地将碎片化的文本数据转化为结构化的风险关联网络.
结论:
- 该研究提供了一种新的方法,用于精确检测危险,及时降低ATC的风险.
- 这种方法可以从分散的因素识别转向系统的因果分析,以加强民用航空安全治理.
- 这些发现有助于在民用航空部门更有效的安全治理.
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