使用隐性变量进行回归不连续性分析
Monica Morell1, Muwon Kwon1, Youngjin Han1
1Department of Human Development and Quantitative Methodology, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA.
Multivariate behavioral research
|November 22, 2025
概括
这项研究引入了一个新的隐性回归不连续性 (RD) 框架. 它通过分析潜在的构造来增强因果推断,而不仅仅是观察到的得分,以更好地概括治疗效果.
科学领域:
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
- 心理测量 心理测量 心理测量
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
背景情况:
- 回归不连续性 (RD) 设计对于随机化不可行时的因果推理至关重要.
- 使用观察得分的传统 RD 分析限制了对局部平均治疗效应 (ATE) 不同质性和概括性的检查.
研究的目的:
- 为增强的因果推理提出一种新的隐性回归不连续性 (RD) 框架.
- 为了能够分析 RD 设计中运行变量的潜在构造.
- 为了允许对ATE异质性和一般化进行检查,远离切线.
主要方法:
- 拟议的潜伏研发框架使用潜伏构造的多个指标变量 (原始项目响应).
- 指定了一个明确的测量模型,将潜在结构与观察到的指标联系起来.
- 这种方法可以定义局部ATE的条件是隐藏的构造.
主要成果:
- 潜伏的研发和开发框架有助于解开局部ATE的异质性.
- 它可以将本地ATE推广到远离切线的得分.
- 概念验证模拟在实际条件下证明了良好的参数恢复.
结论:
- 潜伏研发框架为使用潜伏变量进行因果推理提供了显著的方法进步.
- 这种方法提高了以更细微和更可概括的方式研究治疗效应的能力.
- 研究人员可以在处理未观察到的构造时,更深入地了解因果关系.
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