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Updated: Jan 10, 2026

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世界各地区的经济发展和碳排放:探索异质驱动因素
Xuguang Wang1, Romesa Bilal2, Jamshaid Ur Rehman2
1School of Business, Xuchang University, Xuchang, 461000, China.
Journal of environmental management
|November 23, 2025
概括
经济增长推动了二氧化碳排放,但影响因地区而异. 定制的气候政策至关重要,重点关注特定的化石燃料,绿色外国直接投资 (FDI) 和城市可持续性,以有效减少碳排放.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 气候变化科学 气候变化科学
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
背景情况:
- 全球经济扩张提高了生活水平,但由于依赖化石燃料,二氧化碳排放量增加.
- 了解经济活动与碳排放之间的微妙关系对于有效的气候政策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析经济增长,工业化,城市化,外国直接投资 (FDI),贸易和化石燃料消费对全球不同地区的人均二氧化碳排放的影响.
- 调查排放驱动因素和政策有效性的区域异质性.
主要方法:
- 从2000年到2021年,为四个地区 (非洲和中东,美洲,太平洋-亚洲,欧洲) 的37个国家开发一个小组数据集.
- 应用第二代计量经济学方法,特别是横截面自回归分布式滞后 (CS-ARDL) 模型,以解决横截面依赖性和斜率异质性.
主要成果:
- 经济增长,工业化,外国直接投资以及所有化石燃料类型 (煤炭,石油,天然气) 都会显著增加碳排放.
- 贸易和城市化对排放产生较小,往往在统计学上无意义的抵消效应.
- 存在显著的区域差异:太平洋-亚洲的煤炭,AME的天然气和美国的石油是关键驱动因素. 外国直接投资和贸易减少了太平洋亚洲和欧洲的排放,而城市化的影响在欧洲 (较低的排放量) 和美国 (增加排放量) 之间有很大的差异.
结论:
- 气候政策的"一刀切"方法是无效的,因为排放驱动因素的区域差异很大.
- 需要具体的区域战略,重点是替代占主导地位的化石燃料,吸引绿色外国直接投资,增强城市可持续性.
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