灌土地分配对埃塞俄比亚小麦产量的动态影响
Agerie Nega Wassihun1,2, Yuchun Zhu3, Amenu Leta Duguma1,4
1College of Economics and Management, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, 712100, Shaanxi, PR China.
Scientific reports
|November 25, 2025
概括
灌土地的分配大大提高了埃塞俄比亚的小麦产量,短期和长期. 扩大灌对于满足不断增长的需求和减少对进口的依赖至关重要.
科学领域:
- 农业经济学 农业经济学
- 农业学是一种农业学.
- 发展研究 发展研究 研究
背景情况:
- 有限的纵向数据阻碍了对发展中国家灌对作物生产的影响的理解.
- 埃塞俄比亚的先前研究主要使用横截面数据,限制了动态分析.
研究的目的:
- 调查灌土地分配对埃塞俄比亚小麦生产的动态影响.
- 用纵向数据分析长期和短期的共同整合.
主要方法:
- 利用了世界银行和FAOSTAT的2000年至2021年的数据.
- 采用自回归分布式滞后 (ARDL) 模型进行协同集成分析.
主要成果:
- 灌土地的分配对小麦生产产生了积极的影响,无论是短期还是长期.
- 灌土地增加1公与小麦生产长期增加36%有关.
- 牲畜,用水效率和化学肥料对生产产生积极影响;农业信贷显示负面影响.
结论:
- 埃塞俄比亚的小麦产量落后于需求,需要增加进口.
- 灌开发还没有达到其潜在能力.
- 建议包括扩大和现代化灌基础设施,改善农业贷款监测.
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