在环境压力下,通过推拉动态和政策效应来建模环境压力下的迁移意图.
Menghan Yu1, Muhammad Asif2, Qianru Zhang3
1School of Business, Macau University of Science and Technology, Cotai, 999078, Macau SAR, China.
Scientific reports
|November 25, 2025
概括
环境压力在很大程度上推动了移民意图,特别是在高风险地区. 了解感知到的经济机会和政策意识是解决环境迁移和建立性的关键.
科学领域:
- 环境社会学 环境社会学
- 移民研究 移民研究
- 风险分析 风险分析
背景情况:
- 环境压力是全球人口流离失所的原因之一.
- 环境脆弱性和移民意图之间的相互作用需要进一步调查.
- 现有的移民理论往往忽视了环境因素的微妙作用.
研究的目的:
- 检查环境脆弱性如何影响个人移民意图.
- 探索感知风险的调解作用和政策意识的调节作用.
- 在移民研究中整合环境,经济和政策因素.
主要方法:
- 使用了双阶段的分析方法.
- 收集来自居住在中国高风险环境区的居民的数据.
- 作为一个理论框架,应用了迁移的推拉理论.
主要成果:
- 环境压力和感知到的经济机会是移民意图的重要预测因素.
- 感知到的风险调解了环境压力和移民意图之间的关系.
- 政策意识缓和了被认为的经济机会和移民意图之间的联系.
结论:
- 环境压力是研究人口中移民意图的主要驱动因素.
- 积极的政策对于缓解非自愿移民和增强社区性至关重要.
- 整合环境,经济和政策视角,可以全面了解移民动态.
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