可持续发展目标3:加纳是否在新生儿死亡率的轨道上?
Zakariya Kuupah Adama1, Sabina Abuga2, Solomon Opoku2
1University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana. adamazakariya39@gmail.com.
BMC public health
|November 25, 2025
概括
这里是加拿大加拿大加拿大加拿大.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 时间序列分析时间序列分析
背景情况:
- 新生儿死亡率仍然是加纳五岁以下儿童死亡率的重要因素,尽管儿童健康状况整体有所改善.
- 可持续发展目标 (SDG) 3.2的目标是到2030年将新生儿死亡率降至每1000个活产婴儿中有12例死亡.
- 了解历史趋势和未来预测对于公共卫生政策和干预策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查加纳1960年至2022年的新生儿死亡率趋势.
- 评估加纳在实现新生儿死亡率可持续发展目标3.2目标方面的进展情况.
- 预测未来的新生儿死亡率,并评估实现2030年目标的可能性.
主要方法:
- 使用的世界发展指标 (WDI) 数据涵盖了从1960年到2022年的时间.
- 采用自动回归集成移动平均线 (ARIMA) 时间序列模型进行统计分析.
- 数据处理和分析使用微软Excel和R统计软件进行.
主要成果:
- 在整个研究期间,观察到新生儿死亡率的持续下降.
- 预计2023年的估计率为每1000名活产儿死亡率为20.59,预计到2030年将降至17.60.
- 信任区间表明不确定性,2030年上限超过了可持续发展目标目标,这表明需要加速进展.
结论:
- 虽然加纳在降低新生儿死亡率方面表现出积极的趋势,但到2030年实现可持续发展目标3.2目标并未得到保证.
- 实现2030年目标需要大幅加快进展和战略性卫生干预措施.
- 调查结果为决策者提供了关键的见解,以加强减少新生儿死亡率的努力.
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