使用电子健康记录嵌入式预测心力衰竭患者30天的入院预测:比较评估
Prabin Shakya1, Ayush Khaneja1, Kavishwar B Wagholikar1,2
1Laboratory of Computer Science, Massachusetts General Hospital, 399 Revolution Drive, 7th Floor, Boston, MA, 02145, United States, 1 8595360114.
JMIR medical informatics
|November 25, 2025
概括
预测心力衰竭的再入院是至关重要的. 在患者数据上训练的Word2vec嵌入式显著改善了预测模型,优于BERT和传统方法,用于更好的患者风险分层.
科学领域:
- 医疗信息学医学信息学
- 机器学习在医疗保健中的应用
- 临床预测建模临床预测建模
背景情况:
- 心力衰竭 (HF) 构成了重大的公共卫生挑战,其特点是高的无计划再入院率.
- 目前用于预测高频回收的模型的性能不足,需要改进功能工程.
- 电子健康记录 (EHR) 数据为开发预测模型提供了丰富的来源.
研究的目的:
- 评估和比较各种特征嵌入方法的有效性,以提高心力衰竭患者意外再入院的预测.
- 确定嵌入技术是否可以提高机器学习模型在识别高风险再入院患者的准确性.
主要方法:
- 对比了三个嵌入方法:word2vec在术语代码/概念唯一标识符 (CUI) 和BERT在概念描述上,与一热编码的基线相比.
- 使用后勤回归,极端梯度增强 (XGBoost) 和人工神经网络 (ANN) 模型.
- 通过使用MIMIC-IV数据集中的心力衰竭队列 (N=21,031) 的AUROC和F1得分来评估模型性能.
主要成果:
- 嵌入方法在所有测试的算法中显著改善了预测模型性能.
- 无论使用的嵌入方法,XGBoost都表现出卓越的性能.
- 在特定数据集上训练的Word2vec嵌入实现了更高的AUROC (0.65),相比于在概念描述上预先训练的BERT嵌入 (0.59).
结论:
- 在EHR数据上训练的Word2vec嵌入式有效地区分心力衰竭再入院病例,优于一次热编码和预训练的BERT嵌入式.
- 这些嵌入方法为预测再录取的自动特征选择提供了一种可行的方法.
- 观察到的AUROC改善支持增加风险分层和针对心力衰竭患者的有针对性的临床干预.
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