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一个基于蒙特卡洛的框架为两阶段的随机编程:应用到债券投资组合优化
Hissah Albaqami1,2, Mehdi Mrad3,4, Anis Gharbi5
1Department of Mathematics and Systems Engineering, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL 32901, USA.
Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)
|November 26, 2025
概括
本研究介绍了一种蒙特卡洛模拟方法,用于优化债券投资组合. 它有效地将成本降至最低,并在不确定的市场条件下履行负债,提供强大的解决方案.
科学领域:
- 量化金融 量化金融
- 运营研究 运营研究
- 计算金融是指计算金融.
背景情况:
- 由于利率波动和负债等随机因素,债券组合优化是复杂的.
- 现有的方法可能会与债券市场的动态和不确定的性质作斗争.
- 有效管理债券投资组合需要在风险下做出强有力的决策.
研究的目的:
- 开发一种基于蒙特卡洛模拟的方法,用于随机两阶段债券投资组合优化.
- 在随机市场条件下管理债券购买,持有和销售的同时,优化投资组合成本.
- 为现实世界债券市场应用提供实用和强大的方法.
主要方法:
- 使用蒙特卡洛模拟生成随机市场场景.
- 将随机优化问题转换为决定性问题.
- 使用混合整数线性编程 (MILP) 解决决定性问题.
主要成果:
- 提出的算法成功地确定了问题转换所需的场景数量.
- 该方法有效地将债券投资组合成本降至最低.
- 该方法确保在模拟的市场条件下满足负债.
结论:
- 基于蒙特卡洛模拟的方法为随机债券投资组合优化提供了一个可行的解决方案.
- 该方法为在动态市场中做出最佳财务决策提供了强大的框架.
- 在现实债券市场上成功应用证明了实际的实用性和有效性.
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