基于WAMS数据和物理模型的深度集成的新能源电网中短暂频率响应的在线预测方法
Kailin Yan1, Yi Hu1, Han Xu1
1School of Electrical Engineering and Electronic Information, Xihua University, Chengdu 610039, China.
Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)
|November 26, 2025
概括
本研究引入了一种新的在线方法,用于预测高可再生能源集成的电力系统中短暂的频率不稳定性. 物理引导的机器学习方法提高了电网频率安全性的准确性和可靠性.
科学领域:
- 电力系统工程 电力系统工程
- 整合可再生能源的整合
- 控制理论 控制理论
背景情况:
- 高可再生能源透率降低了电网惯性,增加了短暂频率不稳定性的风险.
- 多种资源 (风能,光伏,存储,高压电流) 提供频率调节,但引入复杂的动态.
- 传统的预测方法与现代电网的非线性和高维度作斗争.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个准确和及时的在线预测方法,用于复杂的电力系统中短暂的频率响应.
- 将物理原理与数据驱动方法相结合,以提高预测准确度.
- 在具有异质可再生资源的电网中提高频率安全意识.
主要方法:
- 使用单机等价 (SME) 方法构建了一个频率动态响应分析模型.
- 应用信息对于物理特征和广域测量系统 (WAMS) 数据的适应加权融合.
- 开发了一个以物理为导向的机器学习框架,具有MLP-GRU-Attention模型和物理一致性约束.
主要成果:
- 拟议的方法在预测准确性方面明显优于传统的数据驱动方法.
- 在小样本条件下表现出卓越的概括能力和增强的噪声免疫力.
- 通过修改IEEE 39总线系统的案例研究来验证.
结论:
- 物理引导的机器学习方法为短暂频率预测提供了强大的解决方案.
- 这种方法提高了可再生能源集成电力系统在线频率安全意识.
- 为管理现代电网中的复杂动态提供了一个新的途径.
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