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Updated: Jan 10, 2026

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多模式行人轨迹预测的因果干预和反事实推理
Xinyu Han1, Huosheng Xu1,2
1School of Computer Science and Technology, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin 150001, China.
Journal of imaging
|November 26, 2025
概括
本研究介绍了一种因果干预和反事实推理 (CICR) 框架,用于在自动驾驶系统中更准确地预测行人轨迹. 这种新的方法提高了预测多样性,减少了偏差,优于现有方法.
科学领域:
- 计算机视觉 计算机视觉
- 人工智能的人工智能
- 机器人技术 机器人技术 机器人技术
背景情况:
- 对于人类环境中的自主系统来说,行人轨迹预测至关重要.
- 目前的方法与社会混,有限的预测多样性和偏见合作斗争.
- 现有的联想式学习方法无法捕捉到真正的因果关系.
研究的目的:
- 开发一种新的因果干预和反事实推理 (CICR) 框架,用于行人轨迹预测.
- 将轨迹预测从关联学习转移到因果推理范式.
- 解决现有方法的局限性,包括虚假相关性,被动不确定性建模和偏差合.
主要方法:
- 提出了一个带有多源编码器的等级框架,用于上下文特征提取.
- 实施了因果干预融合模块,使用前门标准和交叉注意力来消除混偏差.
- 使用反事实推理解码器通过模拟场景生成各种未来轨迹.
主要成果:
- 在ETH/UCY,SDD和AVD数据集上实现了卓越的性能.
- 在ETH/UCY上显示了0.17/0.24的平均平均位移错误 (ADE) /最终位移错误 (FDE).
- 在SDD上展示了7.13/10.29的平均ADE/FDE,在长期预测和跨领域概括方面表现出色.
结论:
- 红十字国际委员会框架有效地解决了行人轨迹预测方面的挑战.
- 因果推理为此任务提供了一个比协会学习更强大的范式.
- 拟议的方法提高了自主系统的预测准确性,多样性和概括能力.
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