基于Web的仪表板,用于追踪巴西 (2000-2022) 的与密码球菌相关的死亡情况
Eric Renato Lima Figueiredo1, Lucca Nielsen2, João Simão de Melo-Neto3
1Postgraduate Program in Tropical Diseases, Nucleus of Tropical Medicine, Federal University of Pará, Belém 66075-110, Brazil.
Tropical medicine and infectious disease
|November 26, 2025
概括
这项研究为巴西的加密球菌病 (真菌感染) 死亡创造了交互式仪表板,使趋势分析和预测能够改善对这种被忽视的疾病的公共卫生策略.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 传染性疾病 传染性疾病
背景情况:
- 加密球菌病是巴西由于监测有限而被忽视的系统性真菌病.
- 分析了2000-2022年全国死亡率数据,以了解加密球菌病的趋势.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个交互式仪表板,用于分析加密菌病死亡率数据.
- 使用区域ARIMA建模预测加密球菌病死亡趋势.
主要方法:
- 使用数据挖掘跨行业标准流程 (CRISP-DM) 框架.
- 从巴西死亡信息系统 (SIM) 提取并预处理的死亡数据,使用R Studio.
- 用Shiny,Plotly和DT开发了一个交互式仪表板,用于数据可视化和多语言支持.
主要成果:
- 分析了12,308例死亡,主要是21-60岁的男性.
- 仪表板提供趋势,人口统计和数据下载的动态探索.
- 区域ARIMA模型预测异质趋势,预计东南地区下降,南方稳定.
结论:
- 该仪表板增强了加密菌病监测,有助于识别受风险人群和资源分配.
- 这种开源工具可以适应其他被忽视的疾病,尽管艾滋病毒数据有限.
- 改进数据分析和预测对于管理被忽视的热带疾病至关重要.
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