关于中国省际碳排放效率和生态基础设施的联合协调研究
Dandan Wang1,2, Ping Guo3
1School of Management, Shijiazhuang Tiedao University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China.
Scientific reports
|November 26, 2025
概括
中国的生态基础设施 (EI) 和碳排放效率 (CEE) 显示稳步改善,但区域差距仍然存在. 加强他们的合协调是中国的关键.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 区域科学 地区科学
背景情况:
- 中国的2030年碳峰值目标需要了解生态基础设施 (EI) 和碳排放效率 (CEE) 之间的联系.
- 在中国各省份的EI发展和CEE发展方面存在显著的区域差异.
研究的目的:
- 评估省际EI发展并量化省级CEE.
- 从2004年到2022年,分析EI和CEE之间的合协调程度 (CCD).
- 预测未来的CCD趋势,并为可持续发展的政策提供信息.
主要方法:
- 开发一个全面的EI评估指数系统.
- 应用非辐射方向距离函数 (NDDF) 用于CEE测量.
- 用于CCD计算的合协调模型和用于趋势预测的灰色预测GM(1,1).
主要成果:
- 从2004年到2022年,EI和CEE都得到了改善,东部地区在CEE领先,西部地区在EI领先.
- 观察到CCD的持续增加,空间聚类 (热点) 增加,冷点减少.
- 预测表明,如果没有有针对性的政策,未来的进展将会更慢,突出区域差异.
结论:
- 欧盟和中东欧国家之间的动态互动对于中国的气候目标至关重要.
- 有针对性的政策可以加强CCD并解决区域不平等问题.
- 调查结果为可持续发展,环境正义和气候适应性提供了战略见解.
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