在中国河南省,水资源限制与农业可持续性之间的联系
Yang Yang1, Wei Chang2, Anjing Qi3
1School of Economics and Management, Shihezi University, Shihezi, 83200, China. 20222316113@stu.shzu.edu.cn.
Scientific reports
|November 26, 2025
概括
农业经济发展和水资源利用呈现积极趋势,但面临协调挑战. 农民福利显著影响水的使用,而水资源对农业增长的影响很小.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 农业经济学 农业经济学
- 水资源管理 水资源管理
背景情况:
- 工业发展和水资源管理对于实现联合国可持续发展目标 (可持续发展目标2和可持续发展目标6) 至关重要.
- 驱动因素-压力-状态-反应 (DPSR) 框架为分析复杂的环境经济系统提供了一个结构.
- 了解农业经济与水资源之间的相互依存关系对于可持续发展至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查河南省农业经济发展与水资源开发和利用之间的合协调水平.
- 分析近二十年来这两个系统的趋势和影响因素.
- 确定农业经济发展与水资源管理之间的协调区域差异.
主要方法:
- 根据DPSR理论选择了43个评估指标.
- 综合发展指数,合协调度模型和灰色关系分析的应用.
- 对河南省及其17个县级城市的20年数据分析.
主要成果:
- 农业经济发展指数和水资源开发/利用指数都在过去20年中呈现上升趋势.
- 两个系统之间的合协调程度也增加了,尽管由于异步发展,八个城市经历了不稳定的协调.
- 农民福利变量显著影响了水资源管理,而水资源供给对农业经济发展的影响最小.
结论:
- 虽然进展显而易见,但要实现农业和水资源之间的稳定和协调发展,需要解决异步增长模式.
- 政策干预应考虑农民福利在水资源管理中的重要作用.
- 未来的战略必须侧重于加强农业经济驱动因素和水资源可持续性之间的协同作用.
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