关节整形术的全球趋势:系统审查和未来预测
Bence Gusztáv Stubnya1,2, Mercedes Schulz1, Szilárd Váncsa2,3,4
1Department of Orthopedics, Semmelweis University, Üllői Street 78/B, 2nd Floor, H-1082 Budapest, Hungary.
Journal of clinical medicine
|November 27, 2025
概括
关节置换手术,包括全关节整形手术 (THA) 和全膝关节整形手术 (TKA),正在迅速增加. 预测显示需求持续增长,需要积极的医疗保健系统规划来管理未来的需求.
科学领域:
- 整形外科和关节置换手术
- 医疗保健系统分析 医疗保健系统分析
- 肌肉骨疾病的流行病学
背景情况:
- 自1990年以来,骨关节炎的发病率翻了一番,推动了关节关节整形手术的需求.
- 手术的进步和人口老龄化促使关节整形手术程序的增加.
- 增加的关节置换手术对全球医疗保健系统构成重大挑战.
研究的目的:
- 分析关节关节整形手术 (THA和TKA) 的历史趋势.
- 评估先前关节整形需求预测的准确性.
- 预测未来关节整形术的需求,为医疗保健规划和政策提供信息.
主要方法:
- 对15个国家关节关节整形术注册表进行系统审查.
- 分析了209份年报的初级全关节整形 (THA) 和全膝关节整形 (TKA) 数据,超过20年时间.
- 使用负指数和增长模型预测未来的关节整形体积.
主要成果:
- 在2010年至2023年期间,THA发生率增加了130%-210%和TKA增加了150%-664%.
- 到2050年,预计的THA量将增加121%至200%+.
- 预计到2050年的TKA数量表明,在分析的国家中至少增加了130%.
结论:
- 关节节修复手术的需求不断增加,需要紧急,主动的医疗保健规划.
- 对基础设施,劳动力和数字资源的战略投资至关重要.
- 投资不到的国家医疗保健系统面临着压倒性的风险,主要和修订程序.
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