肥料诱导的土壤的历史变化,高地谷物作物的损失和气候变化的影响
Chao Wang1,2, Tengyue Ye1,2, Lei Tang1,2
1Key Laboratory of Low-Carbon and Green Agriculture in Southeastern China, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China.
Environmental science & technology
|December 1, 2025
概括
土壤中的肥料气损失略有下降,但玉米田的总损失在60年内大幅增加. 基于气候的战略可以减少未来的活性污染.
科学领域:
- 农业科学 农业科学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 土壤科学 土壤科学
背景情况:
- 肥料的输入引起了由于反应性 (Nr) 损失的环境问题.
- 了解Nr损失的历史趋势对于减缓至关重要,特别是在气候变化下.
研究的目的:
- 为了建模历史的土壤,从全球玉米和小麦种植 (1961-2020) 的Nr损失.
- 评估未来的减缓潜力,以减少Nr损失.
主要方法:
- 开发了随机森林 (RF) 模型,以分析土壤损失的历史变化.
- 利用了1961-2020年玉米和小麦种植的数据.
主要成果:
- 全球平均肥料N损失随着Nr从1961年至2020年间从27-30%下降到20-25%.
- 在60年间,玉米田的土壤Nr总损失从1.0增加到6.0 Tg N yr−1.
- 高收入和快速发展的国家被确定为土壤数量损失的热点.
结论:
- 尽管N损失因子下降,但Nr总损失正在增加,特别是来自玉米种植.
- 考虑到气候变化,特定地点的肥策略可以减少26-30%的土壤NR损失.
- 将气候变化影响纳入农业战略对于减轻Nr污染至关重要.
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