一般实践中的职业生涯持续时间:挪威注册数据二十年的证据
Øyvind Snilsberg1, Johannes B Tyrihjell2, Geir Godager1,3
1Department of Health Management and Health Economics, University of Oslo, Norway.
Scandinavian journal of public health
|December 3, 2025
概括
挪威的全科医生退休率在2002-2022年期间保持稳定. 这项研究没有发现证据表明,日益增加的GP辞职是挪威GP计划当前挑战的主要原因.
科学领域:
- 一般的做法一般的做法
- 医疗保健服务研究 医疗服务研究
- 公共卫生政策 公共卫生政策
背景情况:
- 挪威的全科医生 (GP) 计划面临挑战,GP辞职经常被认为是造成这一问题的因素.
- 了解医生退休趋势对于评估劳动力稳定性和解决系统性问题至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析2001年至2022年挪威全境GP退出率的趋势.
- 为了确定随着时间的推移,GP退出率是否发生了系统的变化.
- 评估GP辞职对挪威GP计划的影响.
主要方法:
- 一项基于注册表的观察性研究包括2001年以后挪威所有全科医生.
- 退出率是每年和整个研究期间 (2002-2022) 计算的.
- 使用95%置信区间和邦费罗尼校正,评估了偏差的统计学意义.
主要成果:
- 医生退休率表现出稳定的模式,下降到50岁,并在67岁退休之前保持低水平.
- 这种特定年龄的退出率模式在整个2002-2022研究期间保持一致.
- 只有两个统计学上显著的偏差被观察到:在2007年67岁的人群中,和2010年41岁的人群中,比预期的更高的比例.
结论:
- 在观察期间,挪威的GP退出率保持稳定.
- 没有经验证据表明,GP辞职的增加是挪威GP计划当前挑战的重要驱动因素.
- 调查结果表明,除了GP消耗之外的其他因素可能更适合该计划的困难.
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