基于季节性和趋势分解方法的动态图表学习框架,用于土豆作物蒸发透气的预测
Saad Javed Cheema1,2, Mohammed Diykh1,2,3, Mumtaz Ali4
1School of Climate Change and Adaptation, University of Prince Edward Island, Charlottetown, PE, Canada.
Scientific reports
|December 3, 2025
概括
一个新的双图形语义融合 (DG-DGSF) 模型通过分析动态模式来改进作物用水需求 (ETc) 估计. 这种先进的方法为可持续的农业水资源管理提供了更准确的预测.
科学领域:
- 农业科学 农业科学
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
- 环境科学 环境科学
背景情况:
- 准确估计作物用水需求 (ETc) 对可持续农业至关重要,特别是随着气候变化日益增加.
- 传统的方法往往无法捕捉作物蒸发的复杂动态模式.
- 需要先进的分析方法来提高ETc估计的准确性.
研究的目的:
- 提出一种新的基于动态图的双图语义融合 (DG-DGSF) 模型,用于增强作物用水需求估计.
- 为了解决分析动态蒸发透气模式的传统方法的局限性.
- 提高农业水资源管理的准确性和效率.
主要方法:
- 将多变量时间序列分解为趋势和季节组件,以创建季节动态图 (SDG) 和趋势动态图 (TDG).
- 应用双图语义融合 (DGSF) 来从动态图中提取语义特征.
- 基于重复单位 (GC-GRU) 的动态图表学习器 (DGL) 和图表卷积集成用于时间序列分析.
- 使用对比式学习模型用于语义特征提取和多层感知器用于监督预测.
主要成果:
- 与最先进的模型 (BiLSTM,GRU,GCN等) 相比,DG-DGSF模型表现出更高的性能. ) 的情况.
- 实现了最低的预测误差,并显著改善了ETc预测率.
- 关键的绩效指标包括RMSE=0.0469,MAPE=0.120,NRMSE=0.0431,KGE=0.977和NSE=0.963. 这些指标包括:
结论:
- 拟议的GD-DGSF模型在估计作物用水需求方面取得了重大进展.
- 它捕捉动态模式的能力导致更准确和可靠的ETc预测.
- 该模型为在不断变化的气候条件下优化农业水资源管理提供了有价值的工具.
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