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2006年至2022年中国艾滋病发病率的时空演变和影响因素研究

Jinxiong Lin^1,2, Yuxuan Xu², Yitao Ren³

¹Dermatology Hospital, Southern Medical University, No. 2 Lujing Road, Yuexiu District, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China.

BMC infectious diseases

|December 3, 2025

概括

中国的艾滋病发病率有所上升,在西部地区出现群体. 运输和医疗保健等社会经济因素影响传播,需要针对性公共卫生战略来有效预防艾滋病.

科学领域:

流行病学流行病学
公共卫生公共卫生
空间分析空间分析

背景情况:

艾滋病仍然是全球卫生负担,社会决定因素的认识越来越大.
社会经济差异和人口变化对艾滋病的时空分布有很大影响.
了解区域差异对于制定有效的预防策略至关重要.

研究的目的:

分析2006年至2022年中国大陆艾滋病发病率的时空分布.
研究社会经济因素对区域艾滋病发病率的影响.
为艾滋病预防提供有针对性的公共卫生干预信息.

主要方法:

利用来自中国31个省份 (2006-2022) 的艾滋病发病率数据.
采用空间自相关性,核密度估计和地理和时间加权回归 (GTWR).
主要组件分析确定了影响艾滋病传播的关键社会经济层面.

主要成果:

中国的艾滋病发病率从每10万人口中的0.51增加到3.69 (2006-2022年).
在中部和西部地区确定了高负荷集群,具有显著的空间自相关性.
GTWR揭示了运输/医疗保健能力与艾滋病发病率之间的积极关联,以及与经济发展/教育的负面相关性.

结论:

中国的艾滋病发病率显示出日益增长的趋势和显著的区域差异.
社会经济因素,特别是交通和医疗保健,在艾滋病传播中起着至关重要的作用.
针对高风险地区量身定制的公共卫生战略对于有效打击艾滋病至关重要.

关键词:

艾滋病艾滋病艾滋病是什么?GTWR GTWR是什么意思 GTWR是什么意思核密度估计核密度的估计.主要组件分析的主要组件分析.空间自相关性空间自相关性

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