在感染患者中预测tigecycline相关的不良事件:具有临床解释性的机器学习方法
Shiya Wu1,2, Yuheng Chen3, Wenjie Fan4
1School of Pharmacy, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.
Frontiers in pharmacology
|December 4, 2025
概括
这项研究创建了一个对tigecycline (TGC) 副作用的预测工具,例如肝损伤和凝血问题. 在线名谱有助于识别有风险的患者,帮助早期干预和个性化治疗策略.
科学领域:
- 药理学和毒理学 药理学和毒理学
- 医疗信息学 医疗信息学
- 临床医学 临床医学
背景情况:
- 提格环素 (TGC) 对多药耐药性感染至关重要,但与肝毒性和凝血障碍有关.
- 目前对这些TGC相关不良事件的预测工具是不够的.
- 开发强大的预测模型对于安全的TGC利用至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证在线动态诺米克图,用于预测接受tigecycline的患者的肝毒性和凝血功能障碍.
- 确定与这些不良事件相关的关键临床特征.
- 为了增强个性化tigecycline治疗的临床决策.
主要方法:
- 对2553名用tigecycline治疗的患者进行了回顾性分析.
- 使用Boruta和LASSO进行特征选择.
- 评估了七个具有交叉验证,ROC和校准曲线的机器学习模型.
- 沙普利添加式解释 (SHAP) 对于在线动态名录的解释性和开发.
主要成果:
- 后勤回归实现肝毒性AUC为0.800,凝血功能障碍AUC为0.755.
- 肝损伤的危险因素:长期治疗,高剂量,ICU入院,HBV,升高的LDH和GGT.
- 凝血功能障碍的危险因素:治疗时间长,ICU入院,Cr升高,败血症,败血性休克.
- 梅洛西西林和较高的红细胞水平显示有保护作用.
结论:
- 一个在线动态名录成功开发,具有良好的预测性能.
- 诺米图有助于早期识别和分层对TGC诱导不良事件敏感的患者的风险分层.
- 该工具支持个性化治疗计划,以更安全地使用tigecycline.
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