对机器学习分类器进行比较分析,以建模活生生的小猪的数量
Ji Yang1, Mohsen Jafarikia1,2,3, Patrick Gagnon4
1Department of Animal Biosciences, Centre for Genetic Improvement of Livestock, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario, N1G 2W1, Canada.
Journal of animal science
|December 5, 2025
概括
机器学习模型可以预测母猪的生产力,帮助农场避免昂贵的除错误. 随机梯度下降 (SGD) 在预测每母猪活生生的仔猪数量方面表现有希望.
科学领域:
- 动物科学动物科学
- 机器学习 机器学习
- 农业经济学 农业经济学
背景情况:
- 播种群的生产力对养猪场的利能力至关重要,与生猪出生小猪数量 (NLB) 直接相关.
- 不准确的母猪杀导致了由于替代成本和产量损失的重大经济损失.
- 预测母猪生产率对于有效的群体管理和经济优化至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估机器学习模型,根据历史数据预测母猪生产率.
- 评估各种分类模型在预测NLB类别 (低,中,高) 中的预测性能.
- 确定影响母猪生产率预测的关键生产变量.
主要方法:
- 使用了六种传统和三种整体机器学习模型.
- 在两个不同的农场环境的两个数据集 (CDPQ和Hypor) 上训练并测试模型.
- 通过加权F1-Score和分析变量重要性来评估分类器的性能.
主要成果:
- 随机梯度下降 (SGD) 成为这两个数据集中表现最好的分类器,获得0.37 (CDPQ) 和0.45 (Hypor) 的加权F1-Score.
- 除了体重 (BW) 和背部脂肪厚度 (BFT) 变量之外,CDPQ数据集上的SGD性能略有降低 (0.43 F1-Score).
- 在CDPQ数据集中,断奶时的BW和BFT被确定为母猪生产率的关键预测指标.
结论:
- 机器学习分类器显示出预测母猪生产力的潜力.
- 准确预测母猪生产率可以帮助优化群体管理,减少经济损失.
- 为了使这些预测模型在行业中得到广泛采用,需要对更大,更高质量的数据集进行进一步的研究.
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