随机环境和迁徙人口动态
Yogesh Trivedi1, Anushaya Mohapatra1
1Department of Mathematics, Birla Institute of Technology and Science, K K Birla Goa Campus, Pilani Zuarinagar Sancoale, 403726, Goa, India.
Mathematical biosciences
|December 5, 2025
概括
环境的随机性对部分迁移的种群产生重大影响. 波动可以促进或阻碍人口持久性,影响迁移作为一种进化稳定的战略.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 人口动态 人口动态
- 进化生物学 进化生物学
背景情况:
- 环境随机性引入了影响人口动态,持久性和适应策略的随机波动.
- 部分迁移,即只有一部分人口迁移,是一种常见的现象,受到环境因素的影响.
研究的目的:
- 通过使用离散时间随机模型,研究环境波动和干扰对部分迁徙人口的影响.
- 在不同的环境条件下确定种群持续和灭绝的门.
- 探索部分迁移作为一种进化稳定的战略 (ESS) 演变的条件.
主要方法:
- 开发了离散时间随机人口模型,包括密度依赖的生育率和偶发性干扰事件.
- 通过使用主导的利亚普诺夫指数来确定持久度值,推导了随机增长率.
- 将框架应用于温度依赖的生育功能,以分析气候驱动的影响.
主要成果:
- 环境的随机性可以增强或减少部分迁徙种群的持续性.
- 随机性的影响取决于干扰的性质和环境变化的分布.
- 数字模拟证实了极端事件,如气候冲击,塑造移民模式和人口结构.
结论:
- 部分迁移动态是复杂的,对环境随机性和干扰很敏感.
- 该研究为预测人口对环境变化的反应提供了一个框架,特别是在气候变化的背景下.
- 了解这些动态对于在不断变化的世界中进行保护工作至关重要.
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