衡量中东和北非国家的抗灾能力及其对灾害损失的影响
Abdullah Demir1,2, Ali Ersin Dinçer3,2, Nazire Nergiz Dincer4,5,6
1Department of Civil Engineering, Structural Laboratory, Abdullah Gül University, Kayseri, 38080, Türkiye.
Scientific reports
|December 8, 2025
概括
本研究介绍了中东和北非国家的灾难适应力指数 (DRI),揭示了强有力的治理,人力资本和基础设施提高了适应力. 脆弱国家和依赖资源的经济体对自然灾害的脆弱性更大.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
背景情况:
- 抗灾能力对于减轻自然灾害影响至关重要.
- 现有的研究往往缺乏多个国家,特定区域的方法来评估抗灾能力.
- 中东和北非地区的异质性需要一个量身定制的弹性框架.
研究的目的:
- 为中东和北非国家制定和验证灾难适应能力指数 (DRI).
- 评估十个关键层面的抗灾能力,综合经济,社会,制度,基础设施和环境因素.
- 提供一个特定区域的框架,考虑中东和北非地区独特的社会经济和环境特点.
主要方法:
- 开发一个多维的灾难性指数 (DRI).
- 整合关于灾害风险 (GIS) 和自然灾害风险的地理空间数据.
- 使用与灾难相关的死亡人数和基于双重主要组件分析 (PCA) 的灵敏度分析进行验证.
主要成果:
- 该DRI有效地评估了MENA国家对灾害的抵御能力.
- 更强大的治理,人力资本和基础设施与更高的弹性相关.
- 脆弱国家和依赖资源的经济体被确定为更脆弱的国家.
结论:
- DRI为了解区域抗灾能力提供了一个强有力的衡量标准.
- 洞察力支持有针对性的减少灾害风险战略和政策干预.
- 国际合作可以显著增强MENA地区的性.
相关概念视频
Applications of GIS: Disaster Management and Emergency Response
437
Geographic Information System (GIS) technology is essential for risk identification, action prioritization, and resource optimization in critical situations like flooding and earthquakes. By integrating spatial and demographic data, GIS provides a comprehensive framework for emergency response.GIS integrates data layers, like rainfall intensity, topography, elevation profiles, and river levels, to model high-risk flood zones. These layers assess areas susceptible to flooding based on their...
437
Responses to Drought and Flooding
11.9K
Water plays a significant role in the life cycle of plants. However, insufficient or excess of water can be detrimental and pose a serious threat to plants.
11.9K
Design Example: Analyzing Capacity Contours for Flood Risk Assessment
270
Flood risk assessment involves careful planning and analysis to ensure the safety of communities near water retention structures. Capacity contours are a vital tool in this process, as they illustrate the potential spread of water at specific levels in a given area. In the context of building a bund across a small valley, these contours play a critical role in evaluating the safety of nearby residential areas.In this example, the bund is intended to store stormwater in the valley. The engineers...
270
Hazard Rate
380
The hazard rate, also known as the hazard function or failure rate, is a statistical measure used to describe the instantaneous rate at which an event occurs, given that the event has not yet happened. From a probabilistic perspective, it represents the likelihood that a subject will experience the event in a very small time interval, conditional on surviving up to the beginning of that interval. In terms of frequency, the hazard rate can be viewed as the ratio of the number of events to the...
380
What is Climate?
20.4K
Climate refers to the prevailing weather conditions in a specific area over an extended period. As the saying goes, “Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get.” Climate is influenced by geographic factors, such as latitude, terrain, and proximity to bodies of water.
20.4K
Self-Discrepancy and Its Effects
266
Self-discrepancy theory explains how people compare their actual self to their ideal and ought selves and how mismatches between these self-guides can lead to emotional distress. Developed by E. Tory Higgins, the theory distinguishes among three components of self-concept: the actual self, the ideal self, and the ought self. These refer respectively to how individuals perceive themselves, how they aspire to be, and how they believe they are obligated to be. Emotional well-being, self-esteem,...
266

