数学建模和基于神经网络的HIV/AIDS数据在埃塞俄比亚工人阶级人口的案例研究中
Abdulsamad Engida Sado1,2, Gemechis File Duressa3, Chernet Tuge Deressa3
1Mathematics, Debre Berhan University, Debre Berhan, Amhara, Ethiopia. AbdulsamadEngida@dbu.edu.et.
Scientific reports
|December 8, 2025
概括
这项研究使用神经网络模拟了艾滋病毒/艾滋病对埃塞俄比亚劳动力的影响. 人工智能模型达到99%以上的准确性,预测到2050年感染率下降.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 计算建模计算建模
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 艾滋病毒/艾滋病严重影响社会福祉,劳动力生产率和经济发展.
- 疫情给经济增长带来了挑战,因为它降低了生产力,收入,加剧了贫困.
- 了解和预测艾滋病毒/艾滋病趋势对于有效的公共卫生干预至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 检查艾滋病毒/艾滋病对埃塞俄比亚工人阶级人口的影响.
- 通过使用先进的建模来开发疾病发生率和传播的准确预测框架.
- 预测埃塞俄比亚艾滋病毒/艾滋病感染的未来趋势.
主要方法:
- 利用一个监督的深度神经网络 (DNN) 与sigmoid激活.
- 在世界卫生组织 (WHO) 从2000年到2023年的数据中训练了DNN模型.
- 在流行病学建模中采用了数值模拟和feedforward DNN方法.
主要成果:
- 在疾病发生率和传播方面实现了超过99%的预测准确度.
- 揭示了两十年来非生产性个体中艾滋病毒发病率的逐渐增加.
- 预计感染人口的数量将大幅下降,到2050年将接近零.
结论:
- 深度神经网络方法为复杂的流行病学模型提供了精确的解决方案.
- 神经网络的应用代表了流行病学建模的重大进步.
- 该研究强调了人工智能在预测和管理艾滋病毒/艾滋病等公共卫生危机方面的潜力.
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