诱导地震的有限增长可能会降低水力压裂的风险
Ryan Schultz1, Federica Lanza1, Ben Dyer2
1Swiss Seismological Service, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.
概括
统计测试可以区分受控液压压裂 (HF) 和危险的故障重新激活. 这项研究有助于通过早期识别潜在的危险操作来降低能源开采的风险.
科学领域:
- 地震科学 地震科学 地震科学
- 石油工程是石油工程中的一个.
- 统计分析 统计分析
背景情况:
- 水力压裂 (HF) 对能源供应至关重要,但可以引起地震,冒着项目终止的风险.
- 评估和减轻与高频运营相关的地震风险对于可持续的能源提取至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发和应用统计测试,以区分高频期间的绑定断裂增长和未绑定断裂重新激活.
- 通过识别和区分潜在的危险阶段来降低HF操作的风险.
主要方法:
- 利用一套统计测试来分析HF期间地震强度的增长.
- 对英国PNR-1z,赫尔辛基街1,犹他州FORGE和英国PNR-2的HF运营数据进行了应用测试.
主要成果:
- 英国PNR-1z和赫尔辛基St1显示受束的骨折增长,表明可控制的操作.
- 犹他州的FORGE和英国的PNR-2显示过渡到无约束故障重新激活,并确定了有问题的阶段.
- 统计测试成功地区分了骨折刺激和故障重新激活.
结论:
- 开发的统计框架可以识别和区分HF阶段,从而使更好的风险评估.
- 这种方法通过提供模型伪造和物理洞察的方法,有助于降低全球HF操作的风险.
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