机器学习算法用于预测癌症幸存者的心血管疾病
Sherry-Ann Brown1,2,3, Michelle Z Fang4, Rodney Sparapani5
1Department of Medicine Medical College of Wisconsin Milwaukee WI USA.
Journal of the American Heart Association
|December 11, 2025
概括
预测癌症幸存者的心血管疾病 (CVD) 风险至关重要. 机器学习模型在这个人群中显示出准确的CVD风险预测的前景.
科学领域:
- 心脏瘤学是一门专业.
- 机器学习在医学中的应用
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
背景情况:
- 心血管疾病 (CVD) 是癌症幸存者死亡的主要原因.
- 在癌症幸存者中准确预测心血管疾病风险是一个重大的临床挑战.
- 机器学习 (ML) 为客观和精确的CVD风险评估提供了一个潜在的解决方案.
研究的目的:
- 评估各种ML算法和规范后勤回归的性能,以预测癌症幸存者的心血管疾病风险.
- 将已建立的ML技术的预测精度与较新的,更复杂的算法进行比较.
- 评估这些模型对识别患心血管疾病高风险的幸存者的有用性.
主要方法:
- 一项多中心研究涉及3835名癌症幸存者,在20年内收集了89个特征.
- 模型在随机和时间分割样本上进行训练,并在329名患者的单独队列上进行验证.
- 使用接收器操作特征曲线 (AUC) 下的面积来评估性能.
主要成果:
- 调节后勤回归实现的AUC为0.845 (心力衰竭),0.792 (冠状动脉疾病) 和0.806 (复合心血管疾病).
- 先进的ML模型,如贝叶斯增量回归树和随机森林,在心力衰竭预测方面表现相似.
- 调节后勤回归也有效地预测了新组合CVD (AUC 0.826).
结论:
- 规范后勤回归和先进的ML模型都表现出类似的,在癌症幸存者中对心血管疾病具有机构可转移的预测能力.
- 这些计算工具可以帮助风险分层和制定有针对性的预防策略.
- 纵向数据分析是通过预测建模推进心脏瘤学的关键.
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